What are NBA player props and how to read them

A player prop is a line on one player's stat: how many points he scores, how many rebounds he grabs, how many assists or threes he records. The line usually has a half point (for example 24.5) so the result is always Over or Under.

The most common NBA markets

• Points
• Rebounds
• Assists
• Threes made
• Points + rebounds + assists (PRA)
• Combos such as points + assists or rebounds + assists

How to read a line

Every line has two prices, one for the Over and one for the Under. The price tells you how likely the market thinks each side is: at -110 on both sides the market sees the line as a coin flip. If the Over is -150 and the Under +125, the market expects the Over more often.

The opening line is the first one posted, usually the day before the game. Then it moves with news: a teammate out, different projected minutes, lineup changes.

Where the numbers come from

A line is not a single sportsbook's prediction but a price that adjusts to the money coming in. In the most liquid markets, like Pinnacle, the final line is a very precise estimate: that is why Clutch saves the opening line and shows how much it moved before the game.

What you get on Clutch

For every NBA game: each player's opening line, how often he went over that line this season and in the last 10 games, injuries and game context (pace, balance, garbage-time risk). Descriptive data only, no picks.